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The public research recordSunday, September 27, 2026

The Masthead

Filing & news evidence · updated continuouslyFor the conviction investor

Helm reads SEC filings and market news against a set of public investment theses and surfaces the evidence that moves them. Every entry carries the verbatim source quote, dated and linked. This is what the same agent does for your own holdings inside the terminal.

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Latest catch · Thesis broke

A reason to own Intel just broke.

Filed by the Helm agentSep 23, 2026INTCIntel

The reason on file: Intel defends enough x86 CPU share to fund the foundry buildout. For months the agent confirmed that pillar against the record. This entry is where it broke.

“Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) can supply only about half of the processor demand its customers are asking for.”
Cited · Newssource → (opens in new tab)the line that broke the thesis
More from the record
  1. TSLA

    TeslaThesis brokeSep 23, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Robotaxi and full self-driving move from promise to revenue-generating deployment

    “Investor Gary Black says that legacy automakers such as General Motors Co. (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) and others will not license Tesla Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology.”
  2. TSLA

    TeslaThesis brokeSep 21, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Robotaxi and full self-driving move from promise to revenue-generating deployment

    “Oppenheimer has cast doubt on the pace of Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot ramp, telling investors that meaningful sales revenue is unlikely before 2029.”
  3. MSTR

    MicroStrategy (Strategy)Thesis holdsSep 21, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Access to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretively

    “As of September 20, 2026, the balances of the USD Reserve and USD Cash were $5.04 billion and $1.05 billion, respectively.”
  4. AAPL

    AppleThesis brokeSep 17, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Services revenue keeps growing double digits at high margin, lifting blended margins

    “Apple (AAPL) Faces a $2.7 Billion UK Lawsuit over its App Tracking Rules”
  5. META

    Meta PlatformsThesis brokeSep 17, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Core app profitability funds Reality Labs without total margins collapsing

    “A German court says Meta can be held responsible for fraudulent third-party ads because of how its platforms control what users see.”
  6. META

    Meta PlatformsThesis brokeSep 14, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Core app profitability funds Reality Labs without total margins collapsing

    “A favorable trading rotation does not reverse the gap between revenue growth and expense growth.”
  7. MSTR

    MicroStrategy (Strategy)Thesis holdsSep 14, 2026

    Tests the thesis: The company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stack

    “As of September 13, 2026, Strategy holds approximately 845,050 bitcoin that were acquired at an aggregate purchase price of $63.73 billion and an average purchase price of approximately $75,412 per bitcoin, inclusive of fees and expenses.”
  8. TSLA

    TeslaThesis brokeSep 13, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Robotaxi and full self-driving move from promise to revenue-generating deployment

    “JPMorgan just rewrote the Tesla robotaxi story in a way that changes everything individual owners thought they stood to gain, and the numbers behind it are harder to dismiss than the hype ever was.”
  9. AVGO

    BroadcomThesis holdsSep 10, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Custom AI accelerator (XPU) demand from hyperscalers drives semiconductor growth

    “We see unprecedented demand for our custom AI accelerators or XPUs and AI networking solutions from our customers, including the leading frontier AI labs, due to the demand for AI compute.”
  10. TSM

    Taiwan SemiconductorThesis holdsSep 10, 2026

    Tests the thesis: TSMC keeps a near-monopoly on leading-edge nodes for every major AI and mobile chip

    “Revenue for January through August 2026 totaled NT$3,386.87 billion, an increase of 39.3 percent compared to the same period in 2025.”
  11. GME

    GameStopThesis holdsSep 9, 2026

    Tests the thesis: The large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailer

    “During the second quarter of fiscal 2026, the Board approved a new discretionary $2.0 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing the previous authorization.”
  12. MSTR

    MicroStrategy (Strategy)Thesis holdsSep 8, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Access to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretively

    “During the period from August 31, 2026 to September 7, 2026, Strategy used $176.3 million of USD Cash to fund repurchases of STRC Stock.”
  13. GME

    GameStopThesis holdsSep 8, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Cost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays out

    “GameStop Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for its second quarter ended August 1, 2026.”
  14. NVDA

    NVIDIAThesis brokeSep 7, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Hyperscaler AI capex keeps growing and NVIDIA keeps the majority of accelerator spend

    “Big Tech’s appetite for AI infrastructure isn’t being sated anytime soon, and Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) is proof of that.”
  15. AAPL

    AppleThesis brokeSep 3, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Services revenue keeps growing double digits at high margin, lifting blended margins

    “Apple faces a £2 billion ($2.7 billion) lawsuit brought by UK app developers who accused Thursday the US tech giant of giving its own advertising services an unfair advantage by imposing tougher privacy rules on third parties.”
  16. AMZN

    AmazonThesis brokeSep 1, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Retail and advertising operating margins keep expanding on logistics efficiency

    “Amazon of deceiving businesses by overcharging prices to advertise on its massive retail platform, pocketing billions for the company.”
  17. MSTR

    MicroStrategy (Strategy)Thesis holdsAug 31, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Access to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretively

    “The bitcoin purchases were made using proceeds from the sale of shares under the ATM.”
  18. MSTR

    MicroStrategy (Strategy)Thesis holdsAug 31, 2026

    Tests the thesis: The company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stack

    “$369.7 million in net proceeds from MSTR Stock sales were used to fund bitcoin purchases”
  19. SMCI

    Super Micro ComputerThesis holdsAug 31, 2026

    Tests the thesis: AI server demand keeps revenue growing as liquid-cooled GPU racks ship at volume

    “The growing use of AI, which requires enhanced data center capabilities, has substantially increased demand for our products.”
  20. MRVL

    Marvell TechnologyThesis holdsAug 28, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Custom AI silicon and electro-optics for hyperscalers drive data-center revenue growth

    “Strong revenue growth from our data center market was driven by AI-related demand for a broad range of our products, including electro-optics, custom, storage, and switching.”
  21. LCID

    Lucid GroupThesis holdsAug 28, 2026

    Tests the thesis: Saudi PIF backing keeps the company funded through the ramp without a collapse in cash

    “On August 24, 2026, Lucid Group, Inc. (the “ Company ”) drew $400 million of Delayed Draw Term Loan (“ DDTL ”) facilities pursuant to its existing agreement with Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of the Public Investment Fund.”
The archive

Everything the agent has caught before the last thirty days, oldest evidence still standing. Each entry keeps its own page and its own date, so a quote can be checked against the document it came from at any time.

  1. AAPLThesis holdsiPhone remains the cash engine with a healthy upgrade cycle and stable unit demandAug 26, 2026
  2. NVDAThesis holdsData-center revenue keeps compounding as Blackwell-class GPUs ship at scaleAug 26, 2026
  3. AVGOThesis brokeCustom AI accelerator (XPU) demand from hyperscalers drives semiconductor growthAug 24, 2026
  4. MSTRThesis holdsThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackAug 24, 2026
  5. AMDThesis brokeInstinct MI-series GPUs win real data-center share as the credible NVIDIA alternativeAug 19, 2026
  6. MRVLThesis holdsCustom AI silicon and electro-optics for hyperscalers drive data-center revenue growthAug 19, 2026
  7. MSTRThesis holdsAccess to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretivelyAug 17, 2026
  8. NVDAThesis holdsHyperscaler AI capex keeps growing and NVIDIA keeps the majority of accelerator spendAug 17, 2026
  9. MSTRThesis holdsThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackAug 14, 2026
  10. TSMThesis holdsTSMC keeps a near-monopoly on leading-edge nodes for every major AI and mobile chipAug 11, 2026
  11. TSMThesis holdsTSMC keeps a near-monopoly on leading-edge nodes for every major AI and mobile chipAug 11, 2026
  12. SMCIThesis holdsFinancial reporting stays clean and timely after prior filing delays restored confidenceAug 11, 2026
  13. TSMThesis holdsTSMC keeps a near-monopoly on leading-edge nodes for every major AI and mobile chipAug 11, 2026
  14. DJTThesis holdsTruth Social and new ventures begin generating meaningful revenue to back the valuationAug 10, 2026
  15. TSMThesis holdsAI-related revenue keeps compounding and lifts full-year growth guidanceAug 10, 2026
  16. DKNGThesis brokeImproving hold rates and promotional discipline drive sustained positive EBITDAAug 7, 2026
  17. DKNGThesis brokeImproving hold rates and promotional discipline drive sustained positive EBITDAAug 7, 2026
  18. SOFIThesis holdsMember and product growth compounds, cross-selling lending and financial servicesAug 6, 2026
  19. AMDThesis holdsInstinct MI-series GPUs win real data-center share as the credible NVIDIA alternativeAug 5, 2026
  20. LCIDThesis brokeThe Gravity SUV ramps deliveries and lifts total volume beyond the Air sedanAug 4, 2026
  21. PLTRThesis holdsGovernment revenue stays sticky and keeps growingAug 4, 2026
  22. AMZNThesis holdsRetail and advertising operating margins keep expanding on logistics efficiencyJul 31, 2026
  23. RDDTThesis holdsAdvertising revenue and user growth compound as ad tooling and DAU expandJul 31, 2026
  24. METAThesis holdsAI-driven recommendations keep ad engagement and pricing rising across the family of appsJul 30, 2026
  25. HOODThesis holdsAverage revenue per user climbs as crypto, options, and Gold subscriptions expandJul 30, 2026
  26. MSFTThesis holdsAzure keeps growing in the high 20s to low 30s as AI workloads drive cloud consumptionJul 29, 2026
  27. MSFTThesis holdsAzure keeps growing in the high 20s to low 30s as AI workloads drive cloud consumptionJul 29, 2026
  28. PYPLThesis brokeBranded checkout reaccelerates and transaction margin dollars grow under the new strategyJul 28, 2026
  29. AMCThesis holdsA recovering film slate drives attendance and revenue back toward pre-pandemic levelsJul 23, 2026
  30. TSLAThesis holdsVehicle deliveries return to growth as new lower-cost models launchJul 23, 2026
  31. AMCThesis holdsA recovering film slate drives attendance and revenue back toward pre-pandemic levelsJul 23, 2026
  32. SMCIThesis holdsFinancial reporting stays clean and timely after prior filing delays restored confidenceJul 21, 2026
  33. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJul 20, 2026
  34. GMEThesis holdsCost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays outJul 20, 2026
  35. MSTRThesis holdsAccess to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretivelyJul 20, 2026
  36. NFLXThesis brokeOperating margin keeps expanding as revenue outgrows content spendJul 17, 2026
  37. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJul 17, 2026
  38. NFLXThesis brokeOperating margin keeps expanding as revenue outgrows content spendJul 17, 2026
  39. AAPLThesis brokeiPhone remains the cash engine with a healthy upgrade cycle and stable unit demandJul 14, 2026
  40. GMEThesis brokeCost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays outJul 14, 2026
  41. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJul 14, 2026
  42. LCIDThesis holdsSaudi PIF backing keeps the company funded through the ramp without a collapse in cashJul 14, 2026
  43. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJul 14, 2026
  44. TSMThesis holdsAI-related revenue keeps compounding and lifts full-year growth guidanceJul 13, 2026
  45. MSTRThesis holdsAccess to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretivelyJul 13, 2026
  46. TSMThesis holdsAI-related revenue keeps compounding and lifts full-year growth guidanceJul 13, 2026
  47. NVDAThesis brokeHyperscaler AI capex keeps growing and NVIDIA keeps the majority of accelerator spendJul 12, 2026
  48. METAThesis brokeAI-driven recommendations keep ad engagement and pricing rising across the family of appsJul 10, 2026
  49. GMEThesis holdsCost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays outJul 7, 2026
  50. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJul 7, 2026
  51. MSTRThesis brokeThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackJul 6, 2026
  52. AVGOThesis holdsCustom AI accelerator (XPU) demand from hyperscalers drives semiconductor growthJul 6, 2026
  53. LCIDThesis holdsSaudi PIF backing keeps the company funded through the ramp without a collapse in cashJul 6, 2026
  54. MSTRThesis brokeThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackJul 6, 2026
  55. AVGOThesis brokeVMware subscription conversion lifts software margins and cash flowJul 2, 2026
  56. GMEThesis holdsCost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays outJul 2, 2026
  57. AMZNThesis brokeRetail and advertising operating margins keep expanding on logistics efficiencyJul 1, 2026
  58. MSTRThesis holdsAccess to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretivelyJun 29, 2026
  59. MSTRThesis holdsThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackJun 29, 2026
  60. GMEThesis holdsThe large cash and bitcoin treasury makes the company a capital-allocation story, not a retailerJun 26, 2026
  61. AMCThesis holdsRefinancing and equity raises keep the heavy debt load serviceableJun 25, 2026
  62. TSMThesis holdsTSMC keeps a near-monopoly on leading-edge nodes for every major AI and mobile chipJun 25, 2026
  63. MUThesis holdsHigh-bandwidth memory for AI accelerators stays sold out and lifts blended pricingJun 25, 2026
  64. GMEThesis holdsCost cuts keep the core retail business at or near breakeven while the pivot plays outJun 24, 2026
  65. AMCThesis holdsRefinancing and equity raises keep the heavy debt load serviceableJun 23, 2026
  66. MSTRThesis holdsThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackJun 22, 2026
  67. MSTRThesis holdsAccess to equity and convertible markets lets it keep accumulating bitcoin accretivelyJun 22, 2026
  68. LCIDThesis holdsSaudi PIF backing keeps the company funded through the ramp without a collapse in cashJun 22, 2026
  69. MSTRThesis holdsThe company is a leveraged bitcoin holding vehicle whose value tracks its BTC stackJun 22, 2026
  70. HOODThesis holdsAverage revenue per user climbs as crypto, options, and Gold subscriptions expandJun 16, 2026
  71. AVGOThesis holdsVMware subscription conversion lifts software margins and cash flowJun 9, 2026
  72. MRVLThesis holdsCustom AI silicon and electro-optics for hyperscalers drive data-center revenue growthMay 28, 2026
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Helm watches these theses in public. It watches yours in private.

Every entry links to a primary source. This is research and monitoring, not investment advice, and not a buy or sell recommendation.

Monitor my own thesis